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Owens Corning (OC) stock forecast and fair value

Owens Corning (OC) trades at $122.85. 16 analysts' median price target is $139.50 (+14%), from $106.00 to $198.00. Across 17 valuation methods the middle fair value is $95.58 (-22%); the DCF says −$41.79.

Price$122.85
Median target$139.50
Fair value, middle$95.58
DCF−$41.79
EPS beat rate40%
Owens Corning fair value by method (price $122.85)Owens Corning fair value by method (price $122.85)low – highpoint estimateRegime-switching Monte Carlo 10th–9…−$39.79DCF — Monte Carlo 10th–90th percent…−$41.79EV/EBITDA vs peers$87.55EV/EBITDA vs peers, weighted$95.58EV/Sales vs peers$208.32EV/Sales vs peers, weighted$254.16Residual income$16.49Analysts' price targets$142.69Outside view — base-rate Monte Carlo$20.12Shareholder yield (dividends + buyb…$167.20

Fair value by method

MethodLowPointHighvs price
Regime-switching Monte Carlo 10th–90th−$277.95−$39.79$201.41-132%
DCF — Monte Carlo 10th–90th percentile−$199.33−$41.79$82.26-134%
EV/EBITDA vs peers$39.15$87.55$156.10-29%
EV/EBITDA vs peers, weighted$63.80$95.58$181.09-22%
EV/Sales vs peers$81.37$208.32$297.26+70%
EV/Sales vs peers, weighted$191.08$254.16$411.44+107%
Residual income$15.88$16.49$17.14-87%
Analysts' price targets$106.00$142.69$198.00+16%
Outside view — base-rate Monte Carlo−$254.63$20.12$243.06-84%
Shareholder yield (dividends + buybacks)$148.94$167.20$190.57+36%

Owens Corning's latest quarter

Owens Corning, Q3 2026: revenue $2.5B (-7% year over year), operating margin -6.1%, net loss $250M, operating cash flow $813M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

What is the price target for OC stock?

The median of 16 analysts' 12-month targets is $139.50, +14% from $122.85; the range is $106.00 to $198.00. The average rating is buy.

What is Owens Corning's fair value?

The fair-value methods on Filing Flows (DCF, Monte Carlo, peer multiples and others) put it between −$41.79 and $254.16, with a middle value of $95.58 against a price of $122.85. Each method's assumptions are on the page.

Does Owens Corning usually beat earnings estimates?

It beat the consensus EPS estimate in 40% of the quarters on record.

Is OC stock a buy?

Filing Flows does not give advice. It shows what analysts expect, what each valuation method implies and the figures behind them, read from SEC filings, so you can judge for yourself.

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Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.