Filing Flows › Blue Owl Capital (OWL) › Stock forecast & fair value
Blue Owl Capital (OWL) stock forecast and fair value
Blue Owl Capital (OWL) trades at $9.82. 18 analysts' median price target is $11.50 (+17%), from $10.00 to $17.00. Across 16 valuation methods the middle fair value is $8.34 (-15%).
Fair value by method
| Method | Low | Point | High | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E vs peers | $1.61 | $2.29 | $3.35 | -77% |
| P/E vs peers, weighted | $1.95 | $2.62 | $5.38 | -73% |
| EV/Sales vs peers, weighted | −$5.70 | −$2.48 | $3.18 | -125% |
| Residual income | $3.15 | $3.26 | $3.38 | -67% |
| Analysts' price targets | $10.00 | $12.64 | $17.00 | +29% |
| Owner earnings capitalized | $8.82 | $9.74 | $10.87 | -0.8% |
| Shareholder yield (dividends + buybacks) | $8.29 | $9.15 | $10.21 | -7% |
| Path-to-margin DCF | $5.16 | $8.34 | $11.52 | -15% |
| Path-to-margin DCF, dilution-adjusted | $5.16 | $8.34 | $11.52 | -15% |
| Exit-multiple (venture) method | $6.86 | $9.60 | $19.39 | -2% |
Blue Owl Capital's latest quarter
Blue Owl Capital, Q3 2026: revenue $807M (+11% year over year), operating margin 18.3%, net earnings $20.0M, operating cash flow $609M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.
Questions
What is the price target for OWL stock?
The median of 18 analysts' 12-month targets is $11.50, +17% from $9.82; the range is $10.00 to $17.00. The average rating is buy.
What is Blue Owl Capital's fair value?
The fair-value methods on Filing Flows (DCF, Monte Carlo, peer multiples and others) put it between −$2.48 and $12.64, with a middle value of $8.34 against a price of $9.82. Each method's assumptions are on the page.
Does Blue Owl Capital usually beat earnings estimates?
It beat the consensus EPS estimate in 80% of the quarters on record.
Is OWL stock a buy?
Filing Flows does not give advice. It shows what analysts expect, what each valuation method implies and the figures behind them, read from SEC filings, so you can judge for yourself.
Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.