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PennyMac Financial Services (PFSI) stock forecast and fair value

PennyMac Financial Services (PFSI) trades at $65.59. 6 analysts' median price target is $73.50 (+12%), from $60.00 to $85.00. Across 17 valuation methods the middle fair value is $72.17 (+10%).

Price$65.59
Median target$73.50
Fair value, middle$72.17
EPS beat rate40%
PennyMac Financial Services fair value by method (price $65.59)PennyMac Financial Services fair value by method (price $65.59)low – highpoint estimateP/E vs peers$49.52P/E vs peers, weighted$86.24P/E vs peers, matched$43.50EV/Sales vs peers$12.97EV/Sales vs peers, weighted$106.21EV/Sales vs peers, matched−$7.25Residual income$74.20Analysts' price targets$72.17Owner earnings capitalized$97.29Shareholder yield (dividends + buyb…$23.70

Fair value by method

MethodLowPointHighvs price
P/E vs peers$36.88$49.52$82.01-25%
P/E vs peers, weighted$62.83$86.24$124.35+31%
P/E vs peers, matched$30.56$43.50$68.25-34%
EV/Sales vs peers−$57.17$12.97$91.96-80%
EV/Sales vs peers, weighted$59.33$106.21$241.95+62%
EV/Sales vs peers, matched−$61.38−$7.25$98.63-111%
Residual income$71.47$74.20$77.09+13%
Analysts' price targets$60.00$72.17$85.00+10%
Owner earnings capitalized$82.27$97.29$119.02+48%
Shareholder yield (dividends + buybacks)$20.04$23.70$28.99-64%

PennyMac Financial Services' latest quarter

PennyMac Financial Services, Q3 2026: revenue $469M (-26% year over year), operating margin 9.1%, net earnings $28.7M, operating cash flow $854M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

What is the price target for PFSI stock?

The median of 6 analysts' 12-month targets is $73.50, +12% from $65.59; the range is $60.00 to $85.00. The average rating is buy.

What is PennyMac Financial Services' fair value?

The fair-value methods on Filing Flows (DCF, Monte Carlo, peer multiples and others) put it between −$7.25 and $121.17, with a middle value of $72.17 against a price of $65.59. Each method's assumptions are on the page.

Does PennyMac Financial Services usually beat earnings estimates?

It beat the consensus EPS estimate in 40% of the quarters on record.

Is PFSI stock a buy?

Filing Flows does not give advice. It shows what analysts expect, what each valuation method implies and the figures behind them, read from SEC filings, so you can judge for yourself.

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Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.