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Post Holdings earnings quality score

How much of the reported profit is backed by cash, and how many markers of managed earnings the filings show

Score66 / 100 · grade B · rank 517 of 1027

Post Holdings (POST) scores 66 of 100 for earnings quality, grade B: rank 517 of 1027 companies and 29 of 48 in consumer-staples. It loses the most points on Montier C-score 4 of 6 checks failed, adjusted earnings 41% below GAAP, accruals of -5.0% of assets, lower than 58% of companies (profit backed by cash). It earns full or near-full marks for discretionary accruals of +0.1% of assets (modified Jones), smaller than most, Beneish M-score -2.47: clean (below −2.22), Dechow F-score 0.51 (normal).

What earned and lost points

ComponentWhat the filings showPointsOf
Accrualsaccruals of -5.0% of assets, lower than 58% of companies (profit backed by cash)1220
Beneish M-scoreBeneish M-score -2.47: clean (below −2.22)1515
Dechow F-scoreDechow F-score 0.51 (normal)1515
Montier C-scoreMontier C-score 4 of 6 checks failed515
Discretionary accrualsdiscretionary accruals of +0.1% of assets (modified Jones), smaller than most1010
Piotroski F-scorePiotroski F-score 4 of 9410
Non-GAAP gapadjusted earnings 41% below GAAP010
Earnings smoothnessprofit about as variable as cash flow (smoothness 1.30)55
POST: share of the available points, by componentPOST: share of the available points, by componentAccruals58%Discretionary accruals98%Beneish M-score100%Dechow F-score100%Montier C-score33%Piotroski F-score44%Earnings smoothness100%

How the score is built

Eight published measures, each scored against the whole universe or on its own scale and weighted: accruals 20, discretionary accruals 10, Beneish M 15, Dechow F 15, Montier C 15, Piotroski F 10, the non-GAAP gap 10, smoothness 5. A measure that cannot be computed (Beneish for a bank, say) drops out and the rest is rescaled, so every company is scored on what applies to it.

Every company ranked → The full quality workbench, live → Post Holdings: cash flow →

Computed from the companies’ own XBRL filings (latest fiscal year) by published formulas; a statistical screen, not an audit or an accusation. A low score means the reported profit shows more of the markers of managed or low-quality earnings than its peers. Not investment advice.