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Southern Copper (SCCO) stock forecast and fair value

Southern Copper (SCCO) trades at $165.38. 17 analysts' median price target is $172.17 (+4%), from $137.96 to $272.12. Across 24 valuation methods the middle fair value is $127.09 (-23%); the DCF says $202.60.

Price$165.38
Median target$172.17
Fair value, middle$127.09
DCF$202.60
EPS beat rate100%
Southern Copper fair value by method (price $165.38)Southern Copper fair value by method (price $165.38)low – highpoint estimateRegime-switching Monte Carlo 10th–9…$135.23DCF — Monte Carlo 10th–90th percent…$202.60P/E vs peers$127.41P/E vs peers, weighted$127.09EV/EBITDA vs peers$155.76EV/EBITDA vs peers, weighted$159.51EV/Sales vs peers$109.75EV/Sales vs peers, weighted$91.38Residual income$43.68Analysts' price targets$175.80

Fair value by method

MethodLowPointHighvs price
Regime-switching Monte Carlo 10th–90th$78.46$135.23$272.98-18%
DCF — Monte Carlo 10th–90th percentile$154.28$202.60$252.87+23%
P/E vs peers$115.53$127.41$297.94-23%
P/E vs peers, weighted$102.10$127.09$307.11-23%
EV/EBITDA vs peers$144.85$155.76$223.30-6%
EV/EBITDA vs peers, weighted$145.10$159.51$241.18-4%
EV/Sales vs peers$86.49$109.75$416.32-34%
EV/Sales vs peers, weighted$67.90$91.38$122.78-45%
Residual income$42.08$43.68$45.39-74%
Analysts' price targets$137.96$175.80$272.12+6%

Southern Copper's latest quarter

Southern Copper, Q3 2026: revenue $4.7B (+39% year over year), operating margin 59.9%, net earnings $1.8B, operating cash flow $2.2B. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

What is the price target for SCCO stock?

The median of 17 analysts' 12-month targets is $172.17, +4% from $165.38; the range is $137.96 to $272.12. The average rating is underperform.

What is Southern Copper's fair value?

The fair-value methods on Filing Flows (DCF, Monte Carlo, peer multiples and others) put it between $34.48 and $202.60, with a middle value of $127.09 against a price of $165.38. Each method's assumptions are on the page.

Does Southern Copper usually beat earnings estimates?

It beat the consensus EPS estimate in 100% of the quarters on record.

Is SCCO stock a buy?

Filing Flows does not give advice. It shows what analysts expect, what each valuation method implies and the figures behind them, read from SEC filings, so you can judge for yourself.

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Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.