Filing Flows › Simmons First National (SFNC) › Stock forecast & fair value
Simmons First National (SFNC) stock forecast and fair value
Simmons First National (SFNC) trades at $22.18. 7 analysts' median price target is $25.00 (+13%), from $25.00 to $28.00. Across 14 valuation methods the middle fair value is $22.47 (+1%).
Fair value by method
| Method | Low | Point | High | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E vs peers | $17.55 | $19.26 | $22.40 | -13% |
| P/E vs peers, weighted | $19.09 | $21.32 | $22.68 | -4% |
| P/E vs peers, matched | $17.12 | $19.18 | $22.09 | -14% |
| Residual income | $21.66 | $22.47 | $23.33 | +1% |
| P/TBV vs ROTCE (bank peers) | $17.71 | $23.39 | $29.07 | +5% |
| Analysts' price targets | $25.00 | $26.07 | $28.00 | +18% |
| Shareholder yield (dividends + buybacks) | $10.77 | $12.42 | $14.66 | -44% |
| Justified P/TBV (Gordon growth) | $22.49 | $26.95 | $33.62 | +22% |
| Dividend discount (Gordon) | $13.65 | $16.35 | $20.39 | -26% |
| Stage-weighted value (financial (bank / insurer)) | $19.15 | $22.41 | $26.42 | +1% |
Simmons First National's latest quarter
Simmons First National, Q3 2026: revenue $251M, operating margin 22.7%, net earnings $47.1M, operating cash flow $43.5M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.
Questions
What is the price target for SFNC stock?
The median of 7 analysts' 12-month targets is $25.00, +13% from $22.18; the range is $25.00 to $28.00. The average rating is none.
What is Simmons First National's fair value?
The fair-value methods on Filing Flows (DCF, Monte Carlo, peer multiples and others) put it between $12.42 and $34.41, with a middle value of $22.47 against a price of $22.18. Each method's assumptions are on the page.
Does Simmons First National usually beat earnings estimates?
It beat the consensus EPS estimate in 50% of the quarters on record.
Is SFNC stock a buy?
Filing Flows does not give advice. It shows what analysts expect, what each valuation method implies and the figures behind them, read from SEC filings, so you can judge for yourself.
Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.