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Is Stoneridge (SRI) a takeover target?

A leveraged buyout does not work for Stoneridge on its latest figures: it has no positive EBITDA to borrow against (−$27.3M over the last 12 months, on revenue of $842M). Historically 8.0% of companies with its figures were bought within a year (1.59× the average).

Share price$4.99
Market value$142M
Enterprise value$270M
Cash$53.1M
Debt$181M
Revenue, 12 months$842M
Revenue growth+15%
EBITDA, 12 months−$27.3M

Why a leveraged buyout does not fit

A leveraged buyout is paid for mostly with debt that the company's own cash flow repays. Stoneridge's EBITDA over the last 12 months was −$27.3M on revenue of $842M, so there is nothing to lend against and nothing to repay a loan with: a buyer would have to pay almost entirely with its own money. That is the kind of deal another company — a strategic buyer that wants the products, the pipeline or the technology — makes, not a private-equity fund. The model therefore gives no buyout price.

What a takeover could cost

Takeovers on record paid a median premium of 32.5% over the share price before the deal (the middle half 20% to 51.8%), according to the 1,437 merger proxies and tender-offer responses on EDGAR that state a premium. At the median, Stoneridge would cost about $6.61 a share, $188M for all its shares.

Premium%Price a shareAll shares
Low end (a quarter of deals paid less)20%$5.99$170M
Median32.5%$6.61$188M
High end (a quarter paid more)51.8%$7.57$215M

The odds, from history

Historically 8.0% of companies with its figures were bought within a year (1.59× the average). Its figures put it in decile 10 of 10 (10 = the most likely to be bought). The odds come from a model of every merger proxy, tender-offer response and going-private statement filed on EDGAR since 2011, set against each company's size, margins, debt, cash flow and growth the year before.

Stoneridge's latest quarter

Stoneridge, Q3 2026: revenue $156M (+12% year over year), operating margin -15.3%, net loss $22.9M, operating cash flow $4.2M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

Is Stoneridge being acquired?

No headline, 8-K or 13D about a sale is on file in the last year.

Could private equity buy Stoneridge?

A leveraged buyout does not work for Stoneridge on its latest figures: it has no positive EBITDA to borrow against (−$27.3M over the last 12 months, on revenue of $842M). With no cash flow to repay a loan, a buyer would pay almost entirely with its own money: a deal for another company (a strategic buyer), not for a private-equity fund.

What would a takeover of Stoneridge cost?

Takeovers on record paid a median premium of 32.5% over the share price before the deal (the middle half 20% to 51.8%), according to the 1,437 merger proxies and tender-offer responses on EDGAR that state a premium. At the median, Stoneridge would cost about $6.61 a share, $188M for all its shares.

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Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.