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Titan Machinery (TITN): analysis traps

Where its figures could mislead a reader, and what to check before taking them at face value · Data: Q2 FY27, to Jul 31, 2026, filed Sep 3, 2026; rules v1.1

Titan Machinery (TITN): 0 rules of 10 triggered on the filings to Jul 31, 2026; 2 with insufficient data; 4 not applicable. Each is a question to verify, with the normal explanation that would produce the same figures.

Check these first

No rule is triggered on the latest filings, and none is marked to review.

Every rule

A01 FCF growth = the business improved Insufficient data

fewer than two fiscal years with operating cash flow and capital expenditure on file

A07 Stock compensation added back = no economic cost Not triggered confidence high

Stock compensation is 0.2% of revenue: small enough that adding it back changes little.

The figures and how they are read
Fiscal yearFY26
Stock compensation$6M
Revenue$2.4B
SBC / revenue+0.2%
Buybacks0
Buybacks / SBC0.0
Diluted shares, year before22.6M shares
Diluted shares22.7M shares
Diluted shares: change+0.6%

SBC / revenue from the cash flow statement's add-back; the diluted weighted share count year over year; buybacks from the financing section

Source: FY26 (stock compensation, buybacks and the diluted share count, fiscal year)

B02 Receivables growing = future cash is certain Not triggered confidence medium

Receivables grew -11% against revenue -9% in Q2 FY27; DSO 21 against a median of 20: collections are keeping pace with sales.

The figures and how they are read
QuarterQ2 FY27
Revenue, year over year-9.2%
Receivables, year over year-11.3%
Quarter beforeQ1 FY27
Revenue y/y, quarter before-12.1%
Receivables y/y, quarter before-11.6%
Days sales outstanding20.6
DSO, median of eight quarters19.6
Receivables$113M
Revenue$496M

receivables and revenue against the same quarter a year earlier; DSO = receivables / quarterly revenue × days, against the median of the eight quarters before

Source: Q2 FY27 (receivables and revenue) · Q2 FY26 (the same quarter a year earlier)

B08 Adjusted profit = economic profit Not triggered confidence low

Adjusted and GAAP EPS were within 10% of each other in the last 3 quarters.

The figures and how they are read
Quarter / adjusted EPS / GAAP EPS / gap2025-10-31 / 0.05 / 0.05 / 0.0; 2026-04-30 / -0.55 / -0.55 / 0.0; 2026-07-31 / -0.4 / -0.4 / 0.0
Quarters with adjusted ≥ 10% above GAAP0
Quarters compared3
Latest gap+0.0%

the analysts' 'actual' (usually the company's adjusted EPS) against GAAP net income ÷ diluted shares for the matching quarter; a gap of 10% or more counts (the stand-in until three releases' reconciliation tables are on file)

Source: 2025-10-31 (adjusted 0.05 vs GAAP 0.05) · 2026-04-30 (adjusted -0.55 vs GAAP -0.55) · 2026-07-31 (adjusted -0.40 vs GAAP -0.40)

C02 Low net debt = no refinancing risk Not triggered confidence medium

$21M comes due within a year, 4.3× covered by cash and investments of $30M plus $62M of free cash flow.

The figures and how they are read
Cash and investments$30M
Debt$173M
Net debt$144M
Due within a year$21M
Read fromthe debt maturity table
Free cash flow, twelve months$62M
Cash plus free cash flow$92M
Coverage of what is due4.3
Due in the second year$17M
Balance sheet date2026-07-31

due within a year from the maturity table (else the current portion of debt), against cash and investments plus free cash flow over the last twelve months (zero if negative); no credit lines assumed

Source: FY26 (debt maturities, cash and investments)

D03 EPS growth = profit growth Not applicable

a loss in one of the quarters: EPS growth has no meaning

E02 Low P/E at a cyclical peak = undervalued Not applicable

a loss on a trailing or mid-cycle basis: the P/E has no meaning

E07 A precise DCF value = the true value Insufficient data

no DCF in the valuation research for this company

J06 A bank's low P/E and high profit = safe Not applicable

not a bank

J08 A REIT's low net income = the dividend is unsafe Not applicable

not a REIT

What the statuses mean

Triggered: the filings show the pattern; read the normal explanations and the missing evidence before concluding anything. To review: one quarter or a weak signal; a reader's judgement, not a pattern. Not triggered: the pattern is absent on these figures. Insufficient data: the filings read so far do not hold what the rule needs; this is not a clean bill. Not applicable: the rule is not meant for this kind of company (a bank's working capital, a loss-making quarter's EPS growth). Out of date: the latest filing is more than fifteen months old.

Severity is what the pattern could mean for cash, value or solvency; confidence is how reliable the inputs and the reading are. The two are kept apart.

Record a view

A reader's judgement, grounds, what would change it and the next review; kept in the browser (needs JavaScript).

Every rule and the companies it triggers on → Titan Machinery: cash flow → Earnings quality score →

Each rule reads the company's own filings by a fixed formula and says what would explain the same figures innocently. A triggered rule is a question to verify, not a finding of manipulation, and not a view on the stock. Missing data is shown as missing, never as clear. Not investment advice.