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Toll Brothers earnings quality score

How much of the reported profit is backed by cash, and how many markers of managed earnings the filings show

Score44 / 100 · grade D · rank 934 of 1027

Toll Brothers (TOL) scores 44 of 100 for earnings quality, grade D: rank 934 of 1027 companies and 242 of 287 in industrials. It loses the most points on accruals of +1.7% of assets, higher than 92% of companies, discretionary accruals of +3.7% of assets (modified Jones), larger than most, adjusted earnings 4% below GAAP. It earns full or near-full marks for profit about as variable as cash flow (smoothness 1.17).

What earned and lost points

ComponentWhat the filings showPointsOf
Accrualsaccruals of +1.7% of assets, higher than 92% of companies444
Discretionary accrualsdiscretionary accruals of +3.7% of assets (modified Jones), larger than most1022
Non-GAAP gapadjusted earnings 4% below GAAP2022
Earnings smoothnessprofit about as variable as cash flow (smoothness 1.17)1111
TOL: share of the available points, by componentTOL: share of the available points, by componentAccruals8%Discretionary accruals44%Non-GAAP gap88%Earnings smoothness100%

How the score is built

Eight published measures, each scored against the whole universe or on its own scale and weighted: accruals 20, discretionary accruals 10, Beneish M 15, Dechow F 15, Montier C 15, Piotroski F 10, the non-GAAP gap 10, smoothness 5. A measure that cannot be computed (Beneish for a bank, say) drops out and the rest is rescaled, so every company is scored on what applies to it.

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Computed from the companies’ own XBRL filings (latest fiscal year) by published formulas; a statistical screen, not an audit or an accusation. A low score means the reported profit shows more of the markers of managed or low-quality earnings than its peers. Not investment advice.