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Txnm Energy (TXNM) stock forecast and fair value

Txnm Energy (TXNM) trades at $58.30. 5 analysts' median price target is $61.00 (+5%), from $59.00 to $61.25. Across 28 valuation methods the middle fair value is $45.50 (-22%); the DCF says $45.07.

Price$58.30
Median target$61.00
Fair value, middle$45.50
DCF$45.07
EPS beat rate50%
Txnm Energy fair value by method (price $58.30)Txnm Energy fair value by method (price $58.30)low – highpoint estimateRegime-switching Monte Carlo 10th–9…$43.47DCF — Monte Carlo 10th–90th percent…$45.07P/E vs peers$45.50P/E vs peers, weighted$50.20P/E vs peers, matched$45.05EV/EBITDA vs peers$75.64EV/EBITDA vs peers, weighted$76.87EV/EBITDA vs peers, matched$66.46EV/EBITDA vs peers, growth-adjusted$59.72EV/Sales vs peers$46.33

Fair value by method

MethodLowPointHighvs price
Regime-switching Monte Carlo 10th–90th−$37.12$43.47$215.90-25%
DCF — Monte Carlo 10th–90th percentile−$26.53$45.07$139.96-23%
P/E vs peers$41.92$45.50$51.99-22%
P/E vs peers, weighted$42.89$50.20$58.33-14%
P/E vs peers, matched$39.05$45.05$51.43-23%
EV/EBITDA vs peers$54.68$75.64$93.02+30%
EV/EBITDA vs peers, weighted$60.16$76.87$101.60+32%
EV/EBITDA vs peers, matched$35.57$66.46$86.27+14%
EV/EBITDA vs peers, growth-adjusted$29.61$59.72$100.50+2%
EV/Sales vs peers$11.92$46.33$75.98-21%

Txnm Energy's latest quarter

Txnm Energy, Q3 2026: revenue $733M (+13% year over year), operating margin 37.0%, net earnings $163M, operating cash flow $230M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

What is the price target for TXNM stock?

The median of 5 analysts' 12-month targets is $61.00, +5% from $58.30; the range is $59.00 to $61.25. The average rating is hold.

What is Txnm Energy's fair value?

The fair-value methods on Filing Flows (DCF, Monte Carlo, peer multiples and others) put it between $0.84 and $76.87, with a middle value of $45.50 against a price of $58.30. Each method's assumptions are on the page.

Does Txnm Energy usually beat earnings estimates?

It beat the consensus EPS estimate in 50% of the quarters on record.

Is TXNM stock a buy?

Filing Flows does not give advice. It shows what analysts expect, what each valuation method implies and the figures behind them, read from SEC filings, so you can judge for yourself.

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Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.