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Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) guidance history: what it guided and what it reported

Texas Roadhouse gave guidance in 12 earnings releases on file since Feb 15, 2024. Of 2 guided periods since reported, it met or beat its own guidance twice (100%). Tax rate: 2 of 2, on average -0.2 pts against the guided midpoint. Its releases raised guidance once and lowered it once.

Tax rate

Texas Roadhouse Tax rate: last guidance vs reportedTexas Roadhouse Tax rate: last guidance vs reportedguided rangereported (above / within / below)FY202415.3%FY2026FY202513.8%FY2027

Met or beat 2 of 2 periods (0 above, 1 within, 1 below).

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
FY202713.0% (Nov 5, 2026)—to be reported—
FY202515.0%–16.0% (Oct 24, 2024) → reaffirmed 15.0%–16.0% (Feb 20, 2025) → reaffirmed 15.0%–16.0% (May 8, 2025) → lowered 15.0% (Aug 7, 2025) → lowered 14.5% (Nov 6, 2025)13.8%below the range-0.7 pts
FY202615.0% (Nov 6, 2025) → lowered 14.0%–15.0% (Feb 19, 2026) → reaffirmed 14.0%–15.0% (May 7, 2026) → lowered 14.0% (Aug 6, 2026) → lowered 13.0% (Nov 5, 2026)—to be reported—
FY202414.0% (Feb 15, 2024) → reaffirmed 14.0% (May 2, 2024) → raised 14.5% (Jul 25, 2024) → raised 15.0% (Oct 24, 2024)15.3%within the range+0.3 pts

Capital expenditures

The GAAP figure from the filings is shown for each period reported; it is not judged against the guide, which may leave items out (one-off payments, acquisitions).

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
FY2027$425M (Nov 5, 2026)—to be reported—
FY2026$400M (Nov 6, 2025) → reaffirmed $400M (Feb 19, 2026) → reaffirmed $400M (May 7, 2026) → reaffirmed $400M (Aug 6, 2026) → raised $440M (Nov 5, 2026)—to be reported—
FY2025$400M (Oct 24, 2024) → reaffirmed $400M (Feb 20, 2025) → reaffirmed $400M (May 8, 2025) → reaffirmed $400M (Aug 7, 2025) → reaffirmed $400M (Nov 6, 2025)$388M (GAAP)not judged—
FY2024$340M–$350M (Feb 15, 2024) → reaffirmed $340M–$350M (May 2, 2024) → raised $360M–$370M (Jul 25, 2024) → reaffirmed $360M–$370M (Oct 24, 2024)$354M (GAAP)not judged—

The latest quarter

Texas Roadhouse, Q3 2026: revenue $1.6B (+10% year over year), operating margin 6.5%, net earnings $89.4M, operating cash flow $147M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

Does Texas Roadhouse beat its guidance?

Texas Roadhouse gave guidance in 12 earnings releases on file since Feb 15, 2024. Of 2 guided periods since reported, it met or beat its own guidance twice (100%). Tax rate: 2 of 2, on average -0.2 pts against the guided midpoint.

How often does Texas Roadhouse raise guidance?

Its earnings releases raised guidance once and lowered it once since Feb 15, 2024.

Latest guidance and outlook →

Each guided period is held to the last guidance given before its figures were reported; a single figure counts as in line within 1% (0.25 pts for a rate). Reported figures are GAAP, from the company's filings; adjusted guidance shows its moves only.