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Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) guidance and outlook
Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) raised some and lowered other parts of its guidance on Nov 5, 2026: Tax rate 13% for FY2026; Capital expenditures $440M for FY2026; Revenue +5% for FY2026; Revenue +5% to +6% for FY2027. Texas Roadhouse's 10-Q filed Nov 6, 2026 makes 11 forward-looking statements.
Guidance and outlook
Latest guidance
| Metric | Period | Range | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | Q4 2026 | +1.5% | new |
| Tax rate | FY2026 | 13% | lowered |
| Capital expenditures | FY2026 | $440M | raised |
| Revenue | FY2026 | +5% | lowered |
| Revenue | FY2027 | +5% to +6% | new |
| Tax rate | FY2027 | 13% | new |
| Capital expenditures | FY2027 | $425M | new |
From the earnings release filed Nov 5, 2026 (8-K on EDGAR).
Forward-looking statements, 10-Q filed Nov 6, 2026
- In 2026, we expect store week growth of 5.0% to 5.5%, including the benefit from franchise acquisitions.
- In 2027, we expect store week growth of 5.0% to 6.0% across all concepts.
- In 2026, we expect commodity inflation of approximately 5.0%, with prices locked for approximately 80% of our remaining forecasted costs and the remainder subject to floating market prices.
- In 2027, we expect commodity inflation of approximately 4.0%.
- In 2026, we expect wage and other labor inflation of 3.5% to 4.0%.
- In 2027, we expect wage and other labor inflation of approximately 3.0%.
- In 2026, we expect an effective tax rate of approximately 13.0% based on forecasted operating results.
- In 2027, we expect an effective tax rate of approximately 13.0% based on forecasted operating results.
- We intend to satisfy our capital requirements over the next 12 months with cash on hand, net cash provided by operating activities and, if needed, funds available under our revolving credit facility.
- In 2026, we expect capital expenditures of approximately $440 million.
- In 2027, we expect capital expenditures of approximately $425 million.
Texas Roadhouse's latest quarter
Texas Roadhouse, Q3 2026: revenue $1.6B (+10% year over year), operating margin 6.5%, net earnings $89.4M, operating cash flow $147M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.
Questions
Did Texas Roadhouse raise or lower its guidance?
Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) raised some and lowered other parts of its guidance on Nov 5, 2026: Tax rate 13% for FY2026; Capital expenditures $440M for FY2026; Revenue +5% for FY2026; Revenue +5% to +6% for FY2027.
What does Texas Roadhouse expect?
In 2026, we expect store week growth of 5.0% to 5.5%, including the benefit from franchise acquisitions. In 2027, we expect store week growth of 5.0% to 6.0% across all concepts. In 2026, we expect commodity inflation of approximately 5.0%, with prices locked for approximately 80% of our remaining forecasted costs and the remainder subject to floating market prices.
Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.