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Under Armour (UAA) stock forecast and fair value

Under Armour (UAA) trades at $5.28. 17 analysts' median price target is $6.00 (+14%), from $4.00 to $12.00. Across 12 valuation methods the middle fair value is $7.23 (+37%).

Price$5.28
Median target$6.00
Fair value, middle$7.23
EPS beat rate80%
Under Armour fair value by method (price $5.28)Under Armour fair value by method (price $5.28)low – highpoint estimateEV/Sales vs peers$10.64EV/Sales vs peers, weighted$16.75Residual income−$0.32Analysts' price targets$6.32Shareholder yield (dividends + buyb…$0.90Tangible book (asset value)$2.16Survival-weighted value$10.55Stage-weighted value (decline / tur…$7.23Combined forecast (3 months)$5.49Schwartz–Moon simulation (cash can …$8.55

Fair value by method

MethodLowPointHighvs price
EV/Sales vs peers$4.99$10.64$15.69+101%
EV/Sales vs peers, weighted$10.68$16.75$35.70+217%
Residual income−$0.32−$0.32−$0.32-106%
Analysts' price targets$4.00$6.32$12.00+20%
Shareholder yield (dividends + buybacks)$0.78$0.90$1.06-83%
Tangible book (asset value)$1.73$2.16$2.16-59%
Survival-weighted value$4.95$10.55$15.55+100%
Stage-weighted value (decline / turnaround)$3.68$7.23$10.24+37%
Combined forecast (3 months)$4.32$5.49$6.80+4%
Schwartz–Moon simulation (cash can run out)$0.00$8.55$23.63+62%

Under Armour's latest quarter

Under Armour, Q2 FY27: revenue $1.2B (-7% year over year), operating margin 1.2%, net loss $425K, operating cash flow −$89.1M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

What is the price target for UAA stock?

The median of 17 analysts' 12-month targets is $6.00, +14% from $5.28; the range is $4.00 to $12.00. The average rating is hold.

What is Under Armour's fair value?

The fair-value methods on Filing Flows (DCF, Monte Carlo, peer multiples and others) put it between −$0.32 and $16.75, with a middle value of $7.23 against a price of $5.28. Each method's assumptions are on the page.

Does Under Armour usually beat earnings estimates?

It beat the consensus EPS estimate in 80% of the quarters on record.

Is UAA stock a buy?

Filing Flows does not give advice. It shows what analysts expect, what each valuation method implies and the figures behind them, read from SEC filings, so you can judge for yourself.

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Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.