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Verra Mobility (VRRM) stock forecast and fair value

Verra Mobility (VRRM) trades at $2.92. 5 analysts' median price target is $3.00 (+3%), from $3.00 to $10.00. Across 21 valuation methods the middle fair value is $4.92 (+69%); the DCF says $3.75.

Price$2.92
Median target$3.00
Fair value, middle$4.92
DCF$3.75
EPS beat rate80%
Verra Mobility fair value by method (price $2.92)Verra Mobility fair value by method (price $2.92)low – highpoint estimateRegime-switching Monte Carlo 10th–9…$4.92DCF — Monte Carlo 10th–90th percent…$3.75P/E vs peers$5.53P/E vs peers, weighted$5.67EV/EBITDA vs peers$14.70EV/EBITDA vs peers, weighted$16.74Residual income$2.10Analysts' price targets$4.80Outside view — base-rate Monte Carlo$1.01Owner earnings capitalized$5.40

Fair value by method

MethodLowPointHighvs price
Regime-switching Monte Carlo 10th–90th−$0.43$4.92$19.32+69%
DCF — Monte Carlo 10th–90th percentile−$3.17$3.75$6.72+28%
P/E vs peers$3.78$5.53$6.93+89%
P/E vs peers, weighted$3.81$5.67$7.60+94%
EV/EBITDA vs peers$7.90$14.70$20.48+403%
EV/EBITDA vs peers, weighted$10.48$16.74$20.48+473%
Residual income$2.02$2.10$2.18-28%
Analysts' price targets$3.00$4.80$10.00+64%
Outside view — base-rate Monte Carlo−$4.34$1.01$20.76-65%
Owner earnings capitalized$4.40$5.40$7.01+85%

Verra Mobility's latest quarter

Verra Mobility, Q3 2026: revenue $259M (-1% year over year), operating margin 25.3%, net earnings $40.4M, operating cash flow $115M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

What is the price target for VRRM stock?

The median of 5 analysts' 12-month targets is $3.00, +3% from $2.92; the range is $3.00 to $10.00. The average rating is hold.

What is Verra Mobility's fair value?

The fair-value methods on Filing Flows (DCF, Monte Carlo, peer multiples and others) put it between −$1.62 and $20.62, with a middle value of $4.92 against a price of $2.92. Each method's assumptions are on the page.

Does Verra Mobility usually beat earnings estimates?

It beat the consensus EPS estimate in 80% of the quarters on record.

Is VRRM stock a buy?

Filing Flows does not give advice. It shows what analysts expect, what each valuation method implies and the figures behind them, read from SEC filings, so you can judge for yourself.

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Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.