Filing Flows › Vertiv Holdings (VRT) › Takeover & LBO
Is Vertiv Holdings (VRT) a takeover target?
A leveraged buyout at today's price plus 30% ($236.38 a share) would return about 1% a year to a private-equity buyer over 5 years; the most a buyer could pay for a 20% return is $126.83 a share (−30% against today's $181.83). At $92.2B it would be larger than any buyout on record (the model flags anything over $60 billion), so this is a thought experiment more than a prospect. Historically 1.9% of companies with its figures were bought within a year (0.37× the average).
The buyout, step by step
| Entry | Amount | How |
|---|---|---|
| Offer price a share | $236.38 | today's $181.83 plus 30% |
| × shares | 392.7 million | |
| = Equity value | $92.8B | |
| + Debt refinanced | $2.9B | |
| − Cash | $3.5B | |
| = Enterprise value | $92.2B | 30.1× EBITDA of $3.1B |
| Fees | $1.8B | 2% of the price |
| New debt | $16.8B | 5.5× EBITDA at 7.65% a year; the limit that binds: 5.5× EBITDA |
| Buyer's own money | $77.2B | 82% of the cost |
5 years under the buyer
| Year | Revenue | EBITDA | Interest | Free cash flow | Debt left |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $14.2B | $3.3B | $1.3B | $1.0B | $15.8B |
| Year 2 | $15.1B | $3.5B | $1.2B | $1.3B | $14.5B |
| Year 3 | $16.0B | $3.7B | $1.1B | $1.5B | $13.0B |
| Year 4 | $16.6B | $3.9B | $998M | $1.7B | $11.4B |
| Year 5 | $17.1B | $4.0B | $869M | $1.9B | $9.5B |
The exit and the buyer's return
| Exit | Amount | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit multiple | 23.1× EBITDA | today's trading multiple, before any premium |
| Enterprise value at exit | $92.5B | |
| − Debt left | $9.5B | |
| = Buyer's equity | $83.0B | |
| Money multiple | 1.07× | on $77.2B put in |
| Buyer's yearly return (IRR) | 1.5% |
Price against return
What the buyer makes at other premiums over today's $181.83; the IRR reaches 20% at $126.83 a share.
| Premium | Price a share | Buyer's IRR |
|---|---|---|
| 10% | $200.01 | 5.8% |
| 20% | $218.20 | 3.5% |
| 30% | $236.38 | 1.5% |
| 40% | $254.56 | −0.4% |
| 50% | $272.75 | −2.0% |
The figures used
| Figure | Amount | |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue, last 12 months | $13.1B | |
| EBITDA, last 12 months | $3.1B | 23.3% of revenue |
| Depreciation and amortization | $420M | |
| Capital spending | $518M | |
| Debt | $2.9B | |
| Cash | $3.5B | |
| Share price | $181.83 | on Nov 6, 2026 |
Fixed rules, the same as the interactive view's starting point: the shares are bought at today's price plus 30%, the company's debt is refinanced and fees take 2%. New debt is the least of 5.5× EBITDA, 65% of the price and the amount whose interest EBITDA covers 2 times, at 7.65% a year (SOFR 3.89% plus the high-yield B spread 3.26% plus 0.5%, rates of Oct 15, 2026). Revenue grows 8.0% in the first year — the company's own rate, held between −3% and +8% — fading to 3% by year 5; the EBITDA margin, depreciation and capital spending stay at today's share of revenue; working capital takes 10% of each year's added revenue; tax is 20% of profit after interest. Every dollar of free cash flow repays debt. After 5 years the buyer sells at today's multiple of EBITDA.
What a takeover could cost
Takeovers in its sector paid a median premium of 30% over the share price before the deal (the middle half 12% to 31%), according to the 14 merger proxies and tender-offer responses on EDGAR that state a premium. At the median, Vertiv Holdings would cost about $236.38 a share, $92.8B for all its shares.
| Premium | % | Price a share | All shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| Low end (a quarter of deals paid less) | 12% | $203.65 | $80.0B |
| Median | 30% | $236.38 | $92.8B |
| High end (a quarter paid more) | 31% | $238.20 | $93.5B |
The odds, from history
Historically 1.9% of companies with its figures were bought within a year (0.37× the average). Its figures put it in decile 1 of 10 (10 = the most likely to be bought). The odds come from a model of every merger proxy, tender-offer response and going-private statement filed on EDGAR since 2011, set against each company's size, margins, debt, cash flow and growth the year before.
Vertiv Holdings' latest quarter
Vertiv Holdings, Q3 2026: revenue $4.3B (+61% year over year), operating margin 22.8%, net earnings $764M, operating cash flow $794M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.
Questions
Is Vertiv Holdings being acquired?
No headline, 8-K or 13D about a sale is on file in the last year.
Could private equity buy Vertiv Holdings?
A leveraged buyout at today's price plus 30% ($236.38 a share) would return about 1% a year to a private-equity buyer over 5 years; the most a buyer could pay for a 20% return is $126.83 a share (−30% against today's $181.83). At $92.2B it would be larger than any buyout on record (the model flags anything over $60 billion), so this is a thought experiment more than a prospect.
What would a takeover of Vertiv Holdings cost?
Takeovers in its sector paid a median premium of 30% over the share price before the deal (the middle half 12% to 31%), according to the 14 merger proxies and tender-offer responses on EDGAR that state a premium. At the median, Vertiv Holdings would cost about $236.38 a share, $92.8B for all its shares.
Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.