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Assured Guaranty (AGO) earnings and revenue breakdown

Latest: Q3 2026 · 10-Q filed Nov 6, 2026 · Assured Guaranty (AGO) Q3 2026 earnings results →

Q3 2026 Revenue up 3% year over year to $214M · 36¢ of every $1 of revenue kept as net profit · operating margin 40.7%

Assured Guaranty made $214M in Q3 2026 (+3% Y/Y). Operating margin 40.7%, net earnings $78.0M. See where every dollar goes — costs, profit and cash — as a Sankey from the 10-Q filed Nov 6, 2026.

Revenue$214M
Year over year+3%
Operating margin40.7%
Net earnings$78.0M
Operating cash flow$92.0M

Drawing the Sankey…

Open the interactive Sankey → click any line for what the company wrote about it, compare Y/Y and Q/Q, export as PNG or PDF

What changed this quarter

Revenue was $214.0M in Q3 2026, up 3% year over year and up 10% from the previous quarter.

Operating profit was $87.0M, a 40.7% margin (down 14.9 points year over year). Operating profit fell $28.0M even though revenue rose $7.0M versus Q3 2025, so costs grew faster than sales. Total costs grew 38% against revenue growth of 3%. Net earnings were $78.0M, down 26% year over year. The effective tax rate was 19.2%.

Operating cash flow was $92.0M (up 67% year over year), 115% of net income including minority interests. Working capital and other items added $12.0M.

Quarterly history

Assured Guaranty revenue by quarterAssured Guaranty revenue by quarter$345MQ1 2025$281MQ2 2025$207MQ3 2025$277MQ4 2025$261MQ1 2026$195MQ2 2026$214MQ3 2026
Assured Guaranty net earnings by quarterAssured Guaranty net earnings by quarter$176MQ1 2025$103MQ2 2025$105MQ3 2025$119MQ4 2025$88.0MQ1 2026$39.0MQ2 2026$78.0MQ3 2026
QuarterFormFiledRevenueY/YOp. marginNet earningsOp. cash flow
Q3 202610-QNov 6, 2026$214M+3%40.7%$78.0M$92.0M
Q2 202610-QAug 7, 2026$195M-31%30.8%$39.0M$40.0M
Q1 202610-QMay 8, 2026$261M-24%13.0%$88.0M$190M
Q4 202510-KFeb 27, 2026$277M+78%50.2%$119M$39.0M
Q3 202510-QNov 7, 2025$207M-23%55.6%$105M$55.0M
Q2 202510-QAug 8, 2025$281M+39%46.3%$103M$78.0M
Q1 202510-QMay 9, 2025$345M+41%51.0%$176M$87.0M

Charts

Assured Guaranty: revenue growth, year over year and quarter over quarterAssured Guaranty: revenue growth, year over year and quarter over quarterY/YQ/Q+41%Q1 2025+39%-19%Q2 2025-23%-26%Q3 2025+78%+34%Q4 2025-24%-6%Q1 2026-31%-25%Q2 2026+3%+10%Q3 2026
Latest (Q3 2026): Y/Y +3%, Q/Q +10%.
Assured Guaranty: where the cash came from (+) and went (−), TTM to Q3 2026Assured Guaranty: where the cash came from (+) and went (−), TTM to Q3 2026Operating cash flow$361MBuybacks−$261MOther investing$182MOther financing−$110MCash drawn (+) / kept (−)−$83.0MDividends−$68.0MTaxes on employees’ shares−$21.0M
From the cash-flow statement as filed (SEC XBRL). Cash is fungible: the bars do not say which dollar paid for what.
Assured Guaranty: profit against cash, quarter by quarterAssured Guaranty: profit against cash, quarter by quarterNet incomeOperating cash flow$22.0M$46.0MQ4 2024$185M$87.0MQ1 2025$106M$78.0MQ2 2025$114M$55.0MQ3 2025$138M$39.0MQ4 2025$85.0M$190MQ1 2026$40.0M$40.0MQ2 2026$80.0M$92.0MQ3 2026
Latest (Q3 2026): Net income $80.0M, Operating cash flow $92.0M.
Assured Guaranty: diluted shares by fiscal yearAssured Guaranty: diluted shares by fiscal year86MFY202074MFY202164MFY202260MFY202354MFY202449MFY2025
-43.5% since FY2020: buybacks shrank the count.
Assured Guaranty in its industry: growth against margin (8 companies, SIC 6351)Assured Guaranty in its industry: growth against margin (8 companies, SIC 6351)revenue growth, year over year →↑ operating marginmedian +20%median 41%ORIRDNESNTMTGNMIHOSGMBIAGO (+3%, 41%)
Surety Insurance; dot size is quarterly revenue; dashed lines are the industry's medians.

Interactive views

The same charts as the app — open one to draw it.

💵Where each $1 goesinteractive

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🌏Named in Asian annual reportsinteractive

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🔄Rotation against the market and its industry (RRG)interactive

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🔍Earnings qualityinteractive

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⚖️Fair value by methodinteractive

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🔭Outlook & guidanceinteractive

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📈Investments: gains and what it boughtinteractive

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🏭Its industry’s money flow (input-output)interactive

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About Assured Guaranty

Assured Guaranty Ltd. (AGL and, together with its subsidiaries, Assured Guaranty or the Company) is a Bermuda-based holding company that provides, through its wholly-owned operating subsidiaries, credit protection products to the U.S. and non-U.S. public finance (including infrastructure) and structured finance markets. Assured Guaranty also participates in the asset management business. Through its financial guaranty insurance subsidiaries, the Company applies its credit underwriting judgment, risk management skills and capital markets experience primarily to offer financial guaranty insurance, including nonpayment insurance, that protects holders of debt instruments and other monetary obligations from defaults in scheduled payments.

In its own words, from its 10-K, filed Feb 27, 2026.

Assured Guaranty against its Surety Insurance peers

The largest companies of the same SEC industry, each at its latest quarter. Revenue growth: +3% against the peers' median +20%. Operating margin: 40.7% against the peers' median 40.7%.

CompanyQuarterRevenueY/YOp. margin
AGO Assured GuarantyQ3 2026$214M+3%40.7%
ORI Old Republic InternationalQ3 2026$2.6B+5%10.7%
RDN Radian GroupQ3 2026$624M+106%36.6%
ESNT Essent GroupQ3 2026$374M+20%53.2%
MTG Mgic InvestmentQ3 2026$299M-2%74.0%
NMIH NMI HoldingsQ3 2026$188M+5%64.1%
OSG Octave Specialty GroupQ2 2026$83.0M+51%-14.1%
MBI MbiaQ3 2026$26.0M+73%-88.5%

Source: Assured Guaranty 10-Q on SEC EDGAR · CIK 1273813 · Surety Insurance

Guidance and outlook

Assured Guaranty: what its forward-looking statements are about (10-Q filed 2026-11-06)Assured Guaranty: what its forward-looking statements are about (10-Q filed 2026-11-06)Other13Demand5Costs3The economy3Buybacks & dividends2Legal & regulation2Financing2Backlog1Supply chain1Capital spending1
34 statements; tone -0.15 (−1 all cautious, +1 all confident); 7 hedged.
Assured Guaranty: outlook statements against the filing beforeAssured Guaranty: outlook statements against the filing beforeConfident3Cautious8

More on AGO

History

Every quarter: Q3 2026 results · Q2 2026 results · Q1 2026 results · Q4 2025 results · Q3 2025 results · Q2 2025 results · Q1 2025 results

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