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CACI International (CACI): analysis traps

Where its figures could mislead a reader, and what to check before taking them at face value · Data: Q3 2026, to Sep 30, 2026, filed Oct 22, 2026; rules v1.1

CACI International (CACI): 0 rules of 10 triggered on the filings to Sep 30, 2026. 2 to review; 3 with insufficient data; 2 not applicable. Each is a question to verify, with the normal explanation that would produce the same figures.

Check these first

Every rule

A01 FCF growth = the business improved Insufficient data

fewer than two fiscal years with operating cash flow and capital expenditure on file

A07 Stock compensation added back = no economic cost Insufficient data

fewer than two fiscal years of stock compensation and share counts on file

B02 Receivables growing = future cash is certain To review confidence medium

Receivables outgrew revenue in Q3 2026 (21% against 8%) and DSO is 64 against a median of 54; one quarter can be timing, so this is one to watch rather than a pattern.

What would show the trap does not apply

• Receivables fall back in line with revenue in the next quarter and DSO returns to its history
• The 10-Q attributes the increase to a disclosed one-off (a large customer's timing, an acquisition) and the allowance for doubtful accounts did not rise

Look again: next filing.

B08 Adjusted profit = economic profit Insufficient data

no reconciliation table read from the releases yet and fewer than three quarters with both an adjusted and a GAAP EPS

C02 Low net debt = no refinancing risk Not triggered confidence medium

$47M comes due within a year, 6.0× covered by cash and investments of $279M.

D03 EPS growth = profit growth Not triggered confidence high

EPS rose 4% and net income rose 4% in Q3 2026; the share count rose 0.7%: EPS growth follows profit growth.

E02 Low P/E at a cyclical peak = undervalued Not triggered confidence medium

Net income of $541M is not at a cyclical high against the last eight years (median $420M, best $536M): the P/E of 25.1× is on a normal year.

E07 A precise DCF value = the true value To review confidence high

The DCF's point value is 494.93 a share (price 608.19); 73% of it is the terminal value, a number about years no one has seen. Moving operating margin by ±3 pts alone takes it from 288.11 to 701.75; across every method the research ran the range is -166 to 2,315. The value is a range; the decimals are not information.

What would explain it innocently

• A stable, mature business with a narrow range of outcomes, where the point value is a fair summary
• The inputs that matter most are themselves well known (a regulated return, a long contract)

What to look for in the filing

• Which input you believe differs from the research's and why
• What the price implies for growth (the reverse DCF on the fair-value page)

What would show the trap does not apply

• The DCF's value is robust to the terminal growth and discount rate (the range's low end is still above the price)
• The company's cash flows over the next three years track the DCF's early years

Look again: next filing.

J06 A bank's low P/E and high profit = safe Not applicable

not a bank

J08 A REIT's low net income = the dividend is unsafe Not applicable

not a REIT

What the statuses mean

Record a view

Every rule and the companies it triggers on → CACI International: cash flow → Earnings quality score →

Each rule reads the company's own filings by a fixed formula and says what would explain the same figures innocently. A triggered rule is a question to verify, not a finding of manipulation, and not a view on the stock. Missing data is shown as missing, never as clear. Not investment advice.