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Krispy Kreme (DNUT) stock forecast and fair value

Krispy Kreme (DNUT) trades at $3.27. 6 analysts' median price target is $4.00 (+22%), from $3.00 to $6.30. Across 9 valuation methods the middle fair value is $0.91 (-72%).

Price$3.27
Median target$4.00
Fair value, middle$0.91
EPS beat rate60%
Krispy Kreme fair value by method (price $3.27)Krispy Kreme fair value by method (price $3.27)low – highpoint estimateResidual income$0.91Analysts' price targets$4.32Shareholder yield (dividends + buyb…$0.91Tangible book (asset value)$0.00Stage-weighted value (decline / tur…$0.00Combined forecast (3 months)$3.41Schwartz–Moon simulation (cash can …$5.10EV/Sales fair multiple (multi-facto…$5.85H-model dividend discount$0.72

Fair value by method

MethodLowPointHighvs price
Residual income$0.88$0.91$0.95-72%
Analysts' price targets$3.00$4.32$6.30+32%
Shareholder yield (dividends + buybacks)$0.81$0.91$1.03-72%
Tangible book (asset value)$0.00$0.00$0.00—
Stage-weighted value (decline / turnaround)$0.00$0.00$0.00—
Combined forecast (3 months)$2.68$3.41$4.22+4%
Schwartz–Moon simulation (cash can run out)$0.00$5.10$16.54+56%
EV/Sales fair multiple (multi-factor fit)$0.11$5.85$18.15+79%
H-model dividend discount$0.64$0.72$0.81-78%

Krispy Kreme's latest quarter

Krispy Kreme, Q3 2026: revenue $329M (-12% year over year), operating margin -2.7%, net loss $13.3M, operating cash flow $8.7M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

What is the price target for DNUT stock?

The median of 6 analysts' 12-month targets is $4.00, +22% from $3.27; the range is $3.00 to $6.30. The average rating is hold.

What is Krispy Kreme's fair value?

The fair-value methods on Filing Flows (DCF, Monte Carlo, peer multiples and others) put it between $0.00 and $5.85, with a middle value of $0.91 against a price of $3.27. Each method's assumptions are on the page.

Does Krispy Kreme usually beat earnings estimates?

It beat the consensus EPS estimate in 60% of the quarters on record.

Is DNUT stock a buy?

Filing Flows does not give advice. It shows what analysts expect, what each valuation method implies and the figures behind them, read from SEC filings, so you can judge for yourself.

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Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.