Filing Flows › Grocery Outlet Holding (GO) › Stock forecast & fair value
Grocery Outlet Holding (GO) stock forecast and fair value
Grocery Outlet Holding (GO) trades at $12.91. 13 analysts' median price target is $11.00 (-15%), from $6.00 to $17.00. Across 11 valuation methods the middle fair value is $11.08 (-14%).
Fair value by method
| Method | Low | Point | High | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV/Sales vs peers | $8.15 | $11.61 | $16.36 | -10% |
| EV/Sales vs peers, weighted | $7.48 | $11.08 | $15.36 | -14% |
| Residual income | −$2.41 | −$2.45 | −$2.50 | -119% |
| Analysts' price targets | $6.00 | $11.08 | $17.00 | -14% |
| Tangible book (asset value) | $2.16 | $2.70 | $2.70 | -79% |
| Survival-weighted value | $7.99 | $11.34 | $15.96 | -12% |
| Stage-weighted value (decline / turnaround) | $5.71 | $7.97 | $10.79 | -38% |
| Combined forecast (3 months) | $10.57 | $13.43 | $16.64 | +4% |
| Schwartz–Moon simulation (cash can run out) | $0.00 | $11.24 | $27.94 | -13% |
| Earnings power value (EPV) | −$2.63 | −$2.43 | −$2.16 | -119% |
Grocery Outlet Holding's latest quarter
Grocery Outlet Holding, Q2 2026: revenue $1.2B (+1% year over year), operating margin 1.3%, net earnings $5.6M, operating cash flow $43.1M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.
Questions
What is the price target for GO stock?
The median of 13 analysts' 12-month targets is $11.00, -15% from $12.91; the range is $6.00 to $17.00. The average rating is hold.
What is Grocery Outlet Holding's fair value?
The fair-value methods on Filing Flows (DCF, Monte Carlo, peer multiples and others) put it between −$2.45 and $53.79, with a middle value of $11.08 against a price of $12.91. Each method's assumptions are on the page.
Does Grocery Outlet Holding usually beat earnings estimates?
It beat the consensus EPS estimate in 75% of the quarters on record.
Is GO stock a buy?
Filing Flows does not give advice. It shows what analysts expect, what each valuation method implies and the figures behind them, read from SEC filings, so you can judge for yourself.
Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.