Filing Flows › Group 1 Automotive (GPI) › Stock forecast & fair value
Group 1 Automotive (GPI) stock forecast and fair value
Group 1 Automotive (GPI) trades at $266.50. 12 analysts' median price target is $326.50 (+23%), from $250.00 to $405.00. Across 25 valuation methods the middle fair value is $509.56 (+91%); the DCF says $610.88.
Fair value by method
| Method | Low | Point | High | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regime-switching Monte Carlo 10th–90th | $349.65 | $1,059.77 | $2,888.03 | +298% |
| DCF — Monte Carlo 10th–90th percentile | $241.86 | $610.88 | $1,145.78 | +129% |
| P/E vs peers | $303.92 | $492.66 | $716.84 | +85% |
| P/E vs peers, weighted | $348.42 | $587.08 | $989.46 | +120% |
| P/E vs peers, matched | $282.97 | $303.92 | $449.45 | +14% |
| EV/Sales vs peers | $479.27 | $662.08 | $2,437.96 | +148% |
| EV/Sales vs peers, weighted | $553.33 | $1,334.24 | $3,564.88 | +401% |
| EV/Sales vs peers, matched | $458.93 | $509.56 | $631.52 | +91% |
| Residual income | $284.88 | $295.75 | $307.28 | +11% |
| Sum of the parts (segments × peer EV/Sales) | $681.93 | $1,343.43 | $2,858.16 | +404% |
Group 1 Automotive's latest quarter
Group 1 Automotive, Q3 2026: revenue $5.4B (-7% year over year), operating margin 3.7%, net earnings $103M, operating cash flow $187M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.
Questions
What is the price target for GPI stock?
The median of 12 analysts' 12-month targets is $326.50, +23% from $266.50; the range is $250.00 to $405.00. The average rating is buy.
What is Group 1 Automotive's fair value?
The fair-value methods on Filing Flows (DCF, Monte Carlo, peer multiples and others) put it between $54.29 and $1,550.06, with a middle value of $509.56 against a price of $266.50. Each method's assumptions are on the page.
Does Group 1 Automotive usually beat earnings estimates?
It beat the consensus EPS estimate in 0% of the quarters on record.
Is GPI stock a buy?
Filing Flows does not give advice. It shows what analysts expect, what each valuation method implies and the figures behind them, read from SEC filings, so you can judge for yourself.
Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.