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Mativ Holdings (MATV) stock forecast and fair value

Mativ Holdings (MATV) trades at $11.70. One analyst's price target is $21.00 (+79%). Across 25 valuation methods the middle fair value is $16.61 (+42%); the DCF says $5.06.

Price$11.70
Median target$21.00
Fair value, middle$16.61
DCF$5.06
EPS beat rate100%
Mativ Holdings fair value by method (price $11.70)Mativ Holdings fair value by method (price $11.70)low – highpoint estimateRegime-switching Monte Carlo 10th–9…$18.79DCF — Monte Carlo 10th–90th percent…$5.06P/E vs peers$55.60P/E vs peers, weighted$33.83EV/EBITDA vs peers$16.47EV/EBITDA vs peers, weighted$24.68EV/EBITDA vs peers, matched$16.84EV/Sales vs peers$23.99EV/Sales vs peers, weighted$45.46EV/Sales vs peers, matched$24.37

Fair value by method

MethodLowPointHighvs price
Regime-switching Monte Carlo 10th–90th−$69.01$18.79$150.94+61%
DCF — Monte Carlo 10th–90th percentile−$53.09$5.06$59.43-57%
P/E vs peers$37.30$55.60$76.71+375%
P/E vs peers, weighted$29.12$33.83$51.05+189%
EV/EBITDA vs peers$14.53$16.47$31.93+41%
EV/EBITDA vs peers, weighted$16.25$24.68$33.91+111%
EV/EBITDA vs peers, matched$15.48$16.84$32.73+44%
EV/Sales vs peers$8.98$23.99$46.47+105%
EV/Sales vs peers, weighted$25.77$45.46$69.75+289%
EV/Sales vs peers, matched$12.10$24.37$50.99+108%

Mativ Holdings' latest quarter

Mativ Holdings, Q3 2026: revenue $500M (-3% year over year), operating margin 4.0%, net loss $1.2M, operating cash flow $48.5M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

What is the price target for MATV stock?

One analyst's 12-month target is $21.00, +79% from $11.70. The average rating is none.

What is Mativ Holdings' fair value?

The fair-value methods on Filing Flows (DCF, Monte Carlo, peer multiples and others) put it between −$0.83 and $55.60, with a middle value of $16.61 against a price of $11.70. Each method's assumptions are on the page.

Does Mativ Holdings usually beat earnings estimates?

It beat the consensus EPS estimate in 100% of the quarters on record.

Is MATV stock a buy?

Filing Flows does not give advice. It shows what analysts expect, what each valuation method implies and the figures behind them, read from SEC filings, so you can judge for yourself.

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Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.