Filing Flows › Mosaic (MOS) › Stock forecast & fair value
Mosaic (MOS) stock forecast and fair value
Mosaic (MOS) trades at $22.52. 18 analysts' median price target is $25.50 (+13%), from $17.00 to $34.00. Across 18 valuation methods the middle fair value is $25.33 (+12%).
Fair value by method
| Method | Low | Point | High | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV/EBITDA vs peers | $2.53 | $13.79 | $25.94 | -39% |
| EV/EBITDA vs peers, weighted | $13.75 | $18.43 | $20.54 | -18% |
| EV/EBITDA vs peers, matched | $8.64 | $13.79 | $36.00 | -39% |
| EV/Sales vs peers | $45.32 | $100.62 | $237.71 | +347% |
| EV/Sales vs peers, weighted | $108.36 | $180.09 | $258.83 | +700% |
| EV/Sales vs peers, matched | $23.57 | $29.88 | $75.53 | +33% |
| EV/Sales vs peers, growth & margin adjusted | $43.38 | $98.23 | $204.11 | +336% |
| Residual income | $14.36 | $14.92 | $15.53 | -34% |
| Analysts' price targets | $17.00 | $25.33 | $34.00 | +12% |
| Shareholder yield (dividends + buybacks) | $12.77 | $14.88 | $17.80 | -34% |
Mosaic's latest quarter
Mosaic, Q3 2026: revenue $3.1B (-10% year over year), operating margin -3.1%, net loss $65.3M, operating cash flow $284M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.
Questions
What is the price target for MOS stock?
The median of 18 analysts' 12-month targets is $25.50, +13% from $22.52; the range is $17.00 to $34.00. The average rating is buy.
What is Mosaic's fair value?
The fair-value methods on Filing Flows (DCF, Monte Carlo, peer multiples and others) put it between $10.24 and $180.09, with a middle value of $25.33 against a price of $22.52. Each method's assumptions are on the page.
Does Mosaic usually beat earnings estimates?
It beat the consensus EPS estimate in 20% of the quarters on record.
Is MOS stock a buy?
Filing Flows does not give advice. It shows what analysts expect, what each valuation method implies and the figures behind them, read from SEC filings, so you can judge for yourself.
Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.