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Nerdwallet (NRDS): analysis traps

Where its figures could mislead a reader, and what to check before taking them at face value · Data: Q3 2026, to Sep 30, 2026, filed Nov 5, 2026; rules v1.1

Nerdwallet (NRDS): 0 rules of 10 triggered on the filings to Sep 30, 2026; 4 with insufficient data; 2 not applicable. Each is a question to verify, with the normal explanation that would produce the same figures.

Check these first

No rule is triggered on the latest filings, and none is marked to review.

Every rule

A01 FCF growth = the business improved Not triggered confidence high

Free cash flow rose $59M to $130M; working capital and lower capex explain 7% of it, so most of the gain is in operating cash flow itself.

The figures and how they are read
Fiscal year beforeFY2024
Fiscal yearFY2025
Operating cash flow, year before$72M
Operating cash flow$132M
Capex, year before$600K
Capex$1M
Free cash flow, year before$71M
Free cash flow$130M
Change in FCF$59M
Change in capex$700K
Working capital: change in its cash contribution$4M
Of which: capex cut0.00
Of which: working capital released$4M
Share of the increase that need not repeat+6.8%
Operating cash flow before working capital: change55800000.00

FCF = operating cash flow − cash capex; ΔFCF = ΔOCF − ΔCapEx; the working-capital part is the change in the cash-bridge items (receivables, inventory, payables, accruals), with the sign of the cash flow statement

Source: FY2025 (cash flow statement, fiscal year) · FY2024 (cash flow statement, fiscal year before)

A07 Stock compensation added back = no economic cost Not triggered confidence high

Stock compensation is 3.4% of revenue, but buybacks of $70M covered it (2.5×) and the diluted share count fell 3.8%: the dilution has been paid for in cash.

The figures and how they are read
Fiscal yearFY2025
Stock compensation$29M
Revenue$837M
SBC / revenue+3.4%
Buybacks$70M
Buybacks / SBC2.5
Diluted shares, year before78.9M shares
Diluted shares75.9M shares
Diluted shares: change-3.8%

SBC / revenue from the cash flow statement's add-back; the diluted weighted share count year over year; buybacks from the financing section

Source: FY2025 (stock compensation, buybacks and the diluted share count, fiscal year)

B02 Receivables growing = future cash is certain Not triggered confidence medium

Receivables grew 1% against revenue 11% in Q3 2026; DSO 45 against a median of 48: collections are keeping pace with sales.

The figures and how they are read
QuarterQ3 2026
Revenue, year over year+11.4%
Receivables, year over year+0.9%
Quarter beforeQ2 2026
Revenue y/y, quarter before+5.6%
Receivables y/y, quarter before+16.2%
Days sales outstanding45.4
DSO, median of eight quarters47.9
Receivables$123M
Revenue$240M

receivables and revenue against the same quarter a year earlier; DSO = receivables / quarterly revenue × days, against the median of the eight quarters before

Source: Q3 2026 (receivables and revenue) · Q3 2025 (the same quarter a year earlier)

B08 Adjusted profit = economic profit Insufficient data

no reconciliation table read from the releases yet and fewer than three quarters with both an adjusted and a GAAP EPS

C02 Low net debt = no refinancing risk Insufficient data

no debt figure could be read from the balance sheet (the filing may tag it in other lines)

D03 EPS growth = profit growth Not triggered confidence high

EPS fell 33% and net income fell 43% in Q3 2026; the share count fell 15.9%: EPS growth follows profit growth.

The figures and how they are read
QuarterQ3 2026
Quarter beforeQ3 2025
EPS, year before$0.34
EPS$0.23
Net income, year before$26M
Net income$15M
Diluted shares, year before76.9M shares
Diluted shares64.7M shares
EPS growth-32.8%
Net income growth-43.4%
Diluted shares: change-15.9%
eps from profit-$0.15
eps from share count$0.04

EPS and net income against the same quarter a year earlier; the EPS bridge attributes the change to profit first, then to the share count (the order is fixed and disclosed)

Source: Q3 2026 (net income, diluted shares, EPS) · Q3 2025 (the same quarter a year earlier)

E02 Low P/E at a cyclical peak = undervalued Insufficient data

no market value or trailing net income in the valuation research

E07 A precise DCF value = the true value Insufficient data

no DCF in the valuation research for this company

J06 A bank's low P/E and high profit = safe Not applicable

not a bank

J08 A REIT's low net income = the dividend is unsafe Not applicable

not a REIT

What the statuses mean

Triggered: the filings show the pattern; read the normal explanations and the missing evidence before concluding anything. To review: one quarter or a weak signal; a reader's judgement, not a pattern. Not triggered: the pattern is absent on these figures. Insufficient data: the filings read so far do not hold what the rule needs; this is not a clean bill. Not applicable: the rule is not meant for this kind of company (a bank's working capital, a loss-making quarter's EPS growth). Out of date: the latest filing is more than fifteen months old.

Severity is what the pattern could mean for cash, value or solvency; confidence is how reliable the inputs and the reading are. The two are kept apart.

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Every rule and the companies it triggers on → Nerdwallet: cash flow →

Each rule reads the company's own filings by a fixed formula and says what would explain the same figures innocently. A triggered rule is a question to verify, not a finding of manipulation, and not a view on the stock. Missing data is shown as missing, never as clear. Not investment advice.