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Pattern Group (PTRN) stock forecast and fair value

Pattern Group (PTRN) trades at $18.27. 8 analysts' median price target is $27.50 (+51%), from $20.00 to $29.00. Across 26 valuation methods the middle fair value is $14.26 (-22%); the DCF says $14.26.

Price$18.27
Median target$27.50
Fair value, middle$14.26
DCF$14.26
EPS beat rate75%
Pattern Group fair value by method (price $18.27)Pattern Group fair value by method (price $18.27)low – highpoint estimateRegime-switching Monte Carlo 10th–9…$16.73DCF — Monte Carlo 10th–90th percent…$14.26P/E vs peers$2.96P/E vs peers, weighted$3.39EV/EBITDA vs peers$13.00EV/EBITDA vs peers, weighted$14.81EV/Sales vs peers$15.60EV/Sales vs peers, weighted$20.72Residual income$2.66Sum of the parts (segments × peer E…$23.07

Fair value by method

MethodLowPointHighvs price
Regime-switching Monte Carlo 10th–90th−$11.67$16.73$71.61-8%
DCF — Monte Carlo 10th–90th percentile−$12.56$14.26$38.96-22%
P/E vs peers$2.73$2.96$3.57-84%
P/E vs peers, weighted$2.69$3.39$4.92-81%
EV/EBITDA vs peers$12.78$13.00$17.43-29%
EV/EBITDA vs peers, weighted$12.91$14.81$18.73-19%
EV/Sales vs peers$13.98$15.60$23.26-15%
EV/Sales vs peers, weighted$15.27$20.72$28.78+13%
Residual income$2.57$2.66$2.75-85%
Sum of the parts (segments × peer EV/Sales)$18.35$23.07$37.92+26%

Pattern Group's latest quarter

Pattern Group, Q3 2026: revenue $886M (+38% year over year), operating margin 4.2%, net earnings $32.1M, operating cash flow $46.4M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

What is the price target for PTRN stock?

The median of 8 analysts' 12-month targets is $27.50, +51% from $18.27; the range is $20.00 to $29.00. The average rating is strong buy.

What is Pattern Group's fair value?

The fair-value methods on Filing Flows (DCF, Monte Carlo, peer multiples and others) put it between −$0.02 and $51.28, with a middle value of $14.26 against a price of $18.27. Each method's assumptions are on the page.

Does Pattern Group usually beat earnings estimates?

It beat the consensus EPS estimate in 75% of the quarters on record.

Is PTRN stock a buy?

Filing Flows does not give advice. It shows what analysts expect, what each valuation method implies and the figures behind them, read from SEC filings, so you can judge for yourself.

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Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.