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Is Wabash National (WNC) a takeover target?

A leveraged buyout does not work for Wabash National on its latest figures: it has no positive EBITDA to borrow against (−$100M over the last 12 months, on revenue of $1.5B). Historically 4.4% of companies with its figures were bought within a year (0.87× the average).

Share price$11.74
Market value$481M
Enterprise value$964M
Cash$69.3M
Debt$550M
Revenue, 12 months$1.5B
Revenue growth-7%
EBITDA, 12 months−$100M

Why a leveraged buyout does not fit

A leveraged buyout is paid for mostly with debt that the company's own cash flow repays. Wabash National's EBITDA over the last 12 months was −$100M on revenue of $1.5B, so there is nothing to lend against and nothing to repay a loan with: a buyer would have to pay almost entirely with its own money. That is the kind of deal another company — a strategic buyer that wants the products, the pipeline or the technology — makes, not a private-equity fund. The model therefore gives no buyout price.

What a takeover could cost

Takeovers on record paid a median premium of 32.5% over the share price before the deal (the middle half 20% to 51.8%), according to the 1,437 merger proxies and tender-offer responses on EDGAR that state a premium. At the median, Wabash National would cost about $15.56 a share, $638M for all its shares.

Premium%Price a shareAll shares
Low end (a quarter of deals paid less)20%$14.09$577M
Median32.5%$15.56$638M
High end (a quarter paid more)51.8%$17.82$731M

The odds, from history

Historically 4.4% of companies with its figures were bought within a year (0.87× the average). Its figures put it in decile 5 of 10 (10 = the most likely to be bought). The odds come from a model of every merger proxy, tender-offer response and going-private statement filed on EDGAR since 2011, set against each company's size, margins, debt, cash flow and growth the year before.

Wabash National's latest quarter

Wabash National, Q3 2026: revenue $476M (+25% year over year), operating margin -4.2%, net loss $20.4M, operating cash flow −$37.3M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

Is Wabash National being acquired?

No headline, 8-K or 13D about a sale is on file in the last year.

Could private equity buy Wabash National?

A leveraged buyout does not work for Wabash National on its latest figures: it has no positive EBITDA to borrow against (−$100M over the last 12 months, on revenue of $1.5B). With no cash flow to repay a loan, a buyer would pay almost entirely with its own money: a deal for another company (a strategic buyer), not for a private-equity fund.

What would a takeover of Wabash National cost?

Takeovers on record paid a median premium of 32.5% over the share price before the deal (the middle half 20% to 51.8%), according to the 1,437 merger proxies and tender-offer responses on EDGAR that state a premium. At the median, Wabash National would cost about $15.56 a share, $638M for all its shares.

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Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.