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Is Petco Health & Wellness Company (WOOF) a takeover target?

A leveraged buyout at today's price plus 30% ($3.79 a share) would return about 4% a year to a private-equity buyer over 5 years; the most a buyer could pay for a 20% return is $1.69 a share (−42% against today's $2.92). Historically 4.8% of companies with its figures were bought within a year (0.95× the average).

Share price$2.92
Offer at +30%$3.79
Buyer's IRR4%
Most for 20%$1.69
EV / EBITDA6.2×
Buyout debt4.5× EBITDA

The buyout, step by step

EntryAmountHow
Offer price a share$3.79today's $2.92 plus 30%
× shares290.5 million
= Equity value$1.1B
+ Debt refinanced$1.5B
− Cash$293M
= Enterprise value$2.3B7.0× EBITDA of $330M
Fees$46.2M2% of the price
New debt$1.5B4.5× EBITDA at 7.65% a year; the limit that binds: 65% of the price
Buyer's own money$854M36% of the cost

5 years under the buyer

Petco Health & Wellness Company: buyout debt left, year by yearPetco Health & Wellness Company: buyout debt left, year by year$1.5BEntry$1.4BYear 1$1.3BYear 2$1.3BYear 3$1.2BYear 4$1.1BYear 5
Free cash flow after interest and tax repays the debt; a shortfall is borrowed.
YearRevenueEBITDAInterestFree cash flowDebt left
Year 1$5.9B$326M$115M$73.2M$1.4B
Year 2$5.9B$325M$109M$77.2M$1.3B
Year 3$5.9B$328M$103M$78.3M$1.3B
Year 4$6.0B$334M$97.3M$79.8M$1.2B
Year 5$6.2B$344M$91.2M$82.9M$1.1B

The exit and the buyer's return

ExitAmount
Exit multiple6.2× EBITDAtoday's trading multiple, before any premium
Enterprise value at exit$2.1B
− Debt left$1.1B
= Buyer's equity$1.0B
Money multiple1.21×on $854M put in
Buyer's yearly return (IRR)3.9%

Price against return

What the buyer makes at other premiums over today's $2.92; the IRR reaches 20% at $1.69 a share.

PremiumPrice a shareBuyer's IRR
10%$3.218.3%
20%$3.506.1%
30%$3.793.9%
40%$4.081.6%
50%$4.37−0.7%

The figures used

FigureAmount
Revenue, last 12 months$6.0B
EBITDA, last 12 months$330M5.5% of revenue
Depreciation and amortization$197M
Capital spending$136M
Debt$1.5B
Cash$293M
Share price$2.92on Nov 6, 2026

Fixed rules, the same as the interactive view's starting point: the shares are bought at today's price plus 30%, the company's debt is refinanced and fees take 2%. New debt is the least of 5.5× EBITDA, 65% of the price and the amount whose interest EBITDA covers 2 times, at 7.65% a year (SOFR 3.89% plus the high-yield B spread 3.26% plus 0.5%, rates of Oct 15, 2026). Revenue grows -1.3% in the first year — the company's own rate, held between −3% and +8% — fading to 3% by year 5; the EBITDA margin, depreciation and capital spending stay at today's share of revenue; working capital takes 10% of each year's added revenue; tax is 21% of profit after interest. Every dollar of free cash flow repays debt. After 5 years the buyer sells at today's multiple of EBITDA.

What a takeover could cost

Takeovers on record paid a median premium of 32.5% over the share price before the deal (the middle half 20% to 51.8%), according to the 1,437 merger proxies and tender-offer responses on EDGAR that state a premium. At the median, Petco Health & Wellness Company would cost about $3.86 a share, $1.1B for all its shares.

Premium%Price a shareAll shares
Low end (a quarter of deals paid less)20%$3.50$1.0B
Median32.5%$3.86$1.1B
High end (a quarter paid more)51.8%$4.42$1.3B

The odds, from history

Historically 4.8% of companies with its figures were bought within a year (0.95× the average). Its figures put it in decile 5 of 10 (10 = the most likely to be bought). The odds come from a model of every merger proxy, tender-offer response and going-private statement filed on EDGAR since 2011, set against each company's size, margins, debt, cash flow and growth the year before.

Petco Health & Wellness Company's latest quarter

Petco Health & Wellness Company, Q2 FY27: revenue $1.5B (0% year over year), operating margin 3.2%, net earnings $38.7M, operating cash flow $162M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

Is Petco Health & Wellness Company being acquired?

No headline, 8-K or 13D about a sale is on file in the last year.

Could private equity buy Petco Health & Wellness Company?

A leveraged buyout at today's price plus 30% ($3.79 a share) would return about 4% a year to a private-equity buyer over 5 years; the most a buyer could pay for a 20% return is $1.69 a share (−42% against today's $2.92).

What would a takeover of Petco Health & Wellness Company cost?

Takeovers on record paid a median premium of 32.5% over the share price before the deal (the middle half 20% to 51.8%), according to the 1,437 merger proxies and tender-offer responses on EDGAR that state a premium. At the median, Petco Health & Wellness Company would cost about $3.86 a share, $1.1B for all its shares.

Open the interactive view →

Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.